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Many neutral observers of the impending Civil War thought the South had a good chance of winning and maintaining its independence because
the South had a larger and better-supplied army.
the South would be able to survive financially due to its cotton production.
the government of the North seemed willing to negotiate a peaceful separation of the regions into two independent nations.
the South was so large and widespread that it seemed unlikely it could be fully conquered.
the use of slavery meant that the South would not suffer a loss of workers.